LAS PREVISIONES FINANCIERAS DE LAS PYME EN SU PROCESO DE SALIDA A BOLSA: REALIDAD O FICCIÓN
Contenido principal del artículo
Resumen
Este artículo valora el proceso de previsión financiera de las pequeñas y medianas empresas (PYME) en sus salidas a bolsa. Específicamente, se analiza la calidad de las previsiones de las ganancias realizadas y se exploran los factores que determinan la precisión de dichas previsiones. Este estudio considera todas las empresas que han salido a cotizar al Mercado Alternativo Bursátil español (MAB). Los resultados muestran que los directivos de las empresas del MAB han sido mayoritariamente optimistas y altamente imprecisos en la estimación de las ganancias futuras.
Detalles del artículo
Sección
Cómo citar
Referencias
Busenitz, L. W., and J. B. Barney (1997). “Differences Between Entrepreneurs and Managers in Large Organizations: Biases and Heuristics in Strategic Decision-Making”. Journal of Business Venturing, 12, 9-30.
Cassar, G., Gibson, B. (2007). “Forecast rationality in small firms”. Journal of Small Business Management, 45 (3), 283-302.
Chan, A., Sit, C., Tong, M., Wong, D. Chan, R. (1996). "Possible factors of the accuracy of prospectus earnings forecasts in Hong Kong". International Journal of Accounting, 31, 381-398.
Cheng, T., Firth, M. (2000). “An empirical Analysis of the Bias and Rationality of Earnings Forecasts Published in New Issue Prospectuses”. Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, 10 (3-4), 423-446.
Chen, G., Firth, M., Krishnan, G. (2001). “Earnings Forecasts Errors In IPO Prospectuses and Their Associations with Initial Stock Returns”. Journal of Multinational Financial Management, 11 (2), 225-240.
DeAngelo, L. (1981). “Auditor Size and Audit Quality”. Journal of Accounting and Economics, 3 (3), 183-199.
Dev, S., Webb, M. (1972). “The accuracy of company Profit Forecasts”, Journal of Business Finance, 4, 26-39.
Firth, M. (1997). “An analysis of the stock market performance of new issues in New Zealand”. Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, 5 (1), 63-85.
Firth, M., Kwok, B., Liau-Tan, C., Yeo, G. (1995). “Accuracy of profit forecasts in IPO prospectus”. Accounting and Business Review, 2 (1),55-83.
Firth, M., Smith, A. (1992). “The Accuracy of Earnings Forecasts in Initial Public Offering Prospectuses”. Accounting and Business Research, 22 (87), 239-247.
Gibson, B. (1997). “Reappraising the Link Between Best Practice and Performance in Small Firms. A Research Note”. Small Enterprise Research, 5(2), 61-67.
Gounopoulos, D. (2011). “Associations Between Management Forecast Accuracy and Pricing of IPOs in Athens Stock Exchange”. Multinational Finance Journal, 14, (3/4), 235-275.
Hartnett, N., Römcke, J. (2000). “The Predictability of Management Forecast Error: A Study of Australian IPO Disclosures”. Multinational Finance Journal, 4 (1-2), 101-132.
Jaggi, B. (1997). “Accuracy of Forecast Information Disclosed in The IPO Prospectuses of Hong Kong Companies”. The International Journal of Accounting, 32 (3), 301-319.
Jaggi, B., Chin, C., Lin, W., Lee, P. (2006). “Earnings Forecast Disclosure Regulation and Earnings Management: Evidence from Taiwan IPO Firms”. Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, 26 (3), 75-299.
Jelic, R., Saadouni, B., Briston, R. (1998). “The Accuracy of Earnings Forecast in IPO Prospectuses on the Kuala Lumpur Stock Exchange 1984-1995”. Accounting and Business Research, 29 (1), 57-72.
Keasey, K., McGuiness, P. (1991). “Prospectus Earning Forecasts and the Pricing on New Issue on the Unlisted Securities Market”. Accounting and Business Research, 21 (82), 133-145.
Lee, I., Taylor, N., Yee. C., Yee, M. (1993). “Prospectus forecast earning: evidence and explanations Australia” Australian Accounting Review, 3, 21-32.
Lonkani, R., Firth, M. (2005). “The accuracy of IPO profit forecasts in Thailand and their relationships with stock market valuation”. Accounting and Business Research, 35 (3), 269-286.
Mallin, C., Ow-Yong, K. (2010). “The UK Alternative Investment Market - Ethical Dimensions”. Journal of Business Ethics, 95, 223-239.
Mbuthia, E., Ward, M. (2003). “The reliability of pre-listing earnings forecasts on the JSE”. Investment Analysts Journal, 57, 33-40.
Mohamad, S., Nasir, A., Kuing, T.K., Arif, M. (1994). “The Accuracy of Earnings Forecasts of Malasyian IPOs”. Capital Markets Review, 2 (2), 46-69.
Pedwell, K., Warsame, H., Neu, D. (1994). “The Accuracy of Canadian and New Zealand‘s Earnings Forecasts: A Comparision of Voluntary is Compulsory Disclosures”. Journal of International Accounting, Auditing and Taxation, 3, 221-236.
Smith, H. C., Herbig, P., Milewicz, J, Golden, J. E. (1996). “Differences in Forecasting Behaviour Between Large and Small Firms”. Journal of Marketing Practice, 2(1), 35-51.